Under current conditions and assuming the continuation of existing laws and obligations, the operational deficit of the Social Security Organization is projected to increase from 860 trillion rials in 1401 AH (2022-2023) to approximately 19,210 trillion rials in 1410 AH (2031-2032). To better understand the severity of the future situation, it should be noted that the deficit-to-revenue ratio of the Social Security Organization is expected to rise from 28 percent in 1401 AH to 196 percent in 1410 AH.

It is noteworthy that this report was authored by Mojgan Khanlou Savojbolaghi and Hamidreza Morshedkhani, and prepared in collaboration with the Expert Task Force on enhancing smart, technological, and people-centered oversight, as part of the First National Conference on Improving the Budgeting Process in Iran. The report comprises 41 pages.

Those interested in reading the report may access and download the full research document through the following link.