کلید واژه : Development
تعداد اخبار : 95
هفتاد و سومین نشست علمی-تخصصی مرکز پژوهش های توسعه و آینده نگری

هفتاد و سومین نشست علمی- تخصصی مرکز پژوهش های توسعه و آینده نگری با موضوع: تبیین محورهای نوین توسعه دانش بنیان منتشر شد


نکات مهم و برجسته در گزارش توسعه انسانی ملل متحد، ۲۰۲۰ تهیه و تنطیم: دکتر یداله ابراهیمی فر
در دهه های گذشته مقایسه کشورها از نظر توسعه اقتصادی و انسانی براساس میزان تولید ناخالص داخلی یا سرانه تولید صورت می گرفت. با تلاش های علمی دو چهره سرشناس جهانی (محبوب الحق و آمارتیا سن) در زمینه مسائل توسعه انسانی، شاخص توسعه انسانی به جهان معرفی گردید. شاخص توسعه انسانی یک شاخص ترکیبی است که با سه متغیر، امید به زندگی، تحصیل سواد و تولید ناخالص سرانه که مرتبط با کیفیت زندگی انسان هستند، ساخته شده است.
 

نقش بانکداری خصوصی در اقتصاد ایران

به گزارش گروه خبر جامعه اندیشکده ها؛ هشتاد و یکمین نشست علمی تخصصی مرکز پژوهش های آینده و توسعه نگری با موضوع «آسیب شناسی نقش بانکداری خصوصی در اقتصاد کشور»، سه شنبه ۱۴ تیر، برگزار می شود.

 

Development and Foresight Research Center participated in the 12th International Technology and Innovation Conference.

Focusing on science, technology, and innovation ecosystems, the 12th International Innovation and Technology Exhibition (INOTEX) was inaugurated at Pardis Technology Park on Tuesday May 09, 2023.


Holding a specialized meeting regarding the United Nations development cooperation framework in the Islamic Republic of Iran

A meeting regarding the"UNITED NATIONS SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT COOPERATION FRAMEWORK FOR THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF IRAN" 2023-2027 was held by the CDRF International Cooperation Office. In this meeting, Dr. Hosseinpour -Director of the International Cooperation Office of CDRF presented this document for analysis.


Improvement in the Islamic Republic of Iran's rank in the Global resilience index despite sanctions

 According to Dr. Ali Hossein pour, the head of international relations and communications with scientific and research centers and organizations of the Center for Development Research and Foresight, one of the crucial factors for evaluating a country’s development is its rank in international development indices.


The private sector is the driving force of the BRICS countries’ economic development

The specialized conference of “Exploring the reasons for the success of the development plans of the BRICS countries; with a focus on Brazil and India” was held. It was stated that the private sector is considered as the driving force of economic development in Brazil and India. Also, it was mentioned that utilizing the economic development experience of Brazil and India would be a pivotal factor for the development of Iran’s economy.


National Land Use Plan: The Key to Balanced Development and Budget Resource Allocation

The scientific-specialized conforence of "Transformations in the Administrative-Political Divisions of Iran: Approaches and Policy Recommendations" was held. 


The Role of an Effective Business Environment in Economic Growth and Inflation Control: Approaches and Policy Recommendations

The specialized conference titled “The Role of an Effective Business Environment in Economic Growth and Inflation Control: Approaches and Policy Recommendations” was recently held. The conference was attended by several notable figures, including Dr. Mohammad Sadegh Bijandi, a former member of the academic board and deputy of education and entrepreneurship of the Academic Center for Education, Culture, and Research, who served as the scientific director. Other attendees included Dr. Ali Davari, an associate professor of entrepreneurship at the University of Tehran, and Dr. Amir Sayyah, the head of the National Center for Business Environment Studies, Monitoring, and Improvement of the Ministry of Economic Affairs and Finance, who both served as scientific speakers. The conference aimed to discuss approaches and policy recommendations for creating an effective business environment to promote economic growth and control inflation.


Mass housing is the public demand from the government.

The scientific-specialized meeting entitled "Strategies for addressing the Housing Supply Crisis" was held with the presence of Mr. Rouhollah Akbari, Special Assistant to the Minister and Secretary of the Committee of Housing of the Ministry of Roads and Urban Development, as the scientific director, Dr. Mohammad Hossein Sharifzadegan, Professor at Shahid Beheshti University and former Minister of Welfare and Social Security, and Dr. Abolfazl Norouzi, Advisor to the Minister and Director General of the Housing Economy Office of the Ministry of Roads and Urban Development, as speakers.


Iran’s Golden Opportunity: Exploring New Commercial Markets in Africa

In the conference of “The Role of International Relations in Controlling Inflation and Production Growth”, it is stated that the main economic goals at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs are fostering currency inflow and boosting employment growth. The embassies have a special mission to support and market the products of 640 domestic knowledge-based companies. Special attention is given to Iran's business opportunities with neighboring countries, Latin America, Southeast Asia, and especially Africa as a priority of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in the thirteenth government. There is a high demand for Iran's medical and pharmaceutical products in Latin America.


Agricultural Sector Achieves Significant Growth, but Challenges Remain

The scientific conference titled "The Role of Balancing Production and Consumption of Agricultural Products in Controlling Inflation" underscored the significance of food security and self-sufficiency. It emphasized the urgency to augment investment in the agricultural sector and the imperative to establish a comprehensive production chain for agricultural products.


Public-Private Partnerships in Land Development: Key Figures Discuss Pressing Issues

In the specialized conference titled "The Model of Public-Private Partnership in Land Development", it is stated that Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) are essential for meeting the world's infrastructure needs, but face challenges such as financing, maintenance, and planning. Governments play a crucial role in PPPs by fostering a collaborative environment, building capacity, and providing transparent policy-making and necessary financial resources. In Iran, PPPs are still in their early stages, and the government needs to address challenges such as lack of interest from executive agencies and absence of a comprehensive approach.


Transferring lands to youths under the Family Protection Act is a positive step in the right direction.

The conference of "Transferring Lands to Youths under the Family Protection Act: Challenges and Policy Recommendations" was held by the participation of notable figures.

It is stated that the government is committed to supporting the family and youth population, and the land transfer program is a positive step in the right direction. Also, it is pointed out that it is important to ensure that the program is implemented effectively and efficiently, and that all eligible households are able to benefit from it.


Supplying Building Materials in the Stock Market is a Matter with Controversial Perspectives.

The ​Center for Development and Foresight Research recently organized a specialized conference focused on addressing ​inflation in the ​housing sector, specifically examining the effects of supplying ​building materials in the ​stock market. The conference was led by Mr. Rouhollah Akbari, a special assistant to the Minister and the secretary of the housing group in the Ministry of Roads and Urban Development. Various experts from academia and industry presented their perspectives so that a comprehensive outlook can be provided to all interested in this topic.


CDRF Conference Discusses Planning-oriented Governance for Water, Food, and Farmer's Livelihood Security

The Center for Development Research and Foresight (CDRF) held a conference on planning-oriented governance for water, food, and farmer's livelihood security. The conference speakers discussed the importance of agriculture in land use planning, the three pillars of food security, and global challenges to food security. They also defined land use planning and food sovereignty, and emphasized the importance of sustainable farming practices.

The CDRF conference highlighted the critical role of agriculture and food security in land use planning. The speakers discussed the challenges to food security and the need for sustainable farming practices. They also emphasized the importance of empowering producers and consumers with control over the production, distribution, and consumption of food.


Capital Gains Tax in Iran

Iran’s 2022 budget projects tax collection to make up over 80% of the expected revenues, leading to a negative operational balance due to high government expenses. To address this, the government plans to increase tax revenues by identifying new tax bases and implementing a capital gains tax plan. However, concerns exist about the efficiency of the current tax system and the social impact of the capital gains tax law. 


China's Technological Leapfrogging and Economic Catch-up

In his book, "China's Technological Leapfrogging & Economic Catch-Up- A Schumpeterian Perspective", Professor Keun Lee examines China's economic growth from a Schumpeterian perspective. He argues that China's success in catching up to the developed economies has been due in part to its ability to leapfrog over older technologies and adopt new technologies more quickly.


Introduction to Agent-Based Modeling

The book, “Agent-Based Modeling with Applications to Social, Ecological, and Social-Ecological Systems,” authored by Professor Marco J. Janssen and translated by Dr. Amir Alambigi and Dr. Babak Afghahi, has been published by the Center for Development and Foresight Research.


Climate change in Iran: Evaluating the trends and predicting its effects

Climate change and global warming have been one of the issues that have captured the attention of many researchers since the late twentieth century and have become the most significant challenge of the present century. The Earth's weather has been disrupted during these years, and its temperature has been increasing day by day.


Land Capability Assessment

Environmental management is a crucial response to the crisis caused by rapid economic and social changes that affect the environment. Some of these challenges are global pollution, biodiversity loss, soil erosion, and urban sprawl. However, the pace of environmental monitoring, analysis, and planning has lagged behind the emergence of these problems.


National Spatial Planning Studies: Model and Integration Process

Spatial planning is the process of designing a desirable spatial organization of activities, population, and their impacts on territory. Therefore, its main objective is to consider sectoral and regional balances and balanced land use in formulating scenarios and determining the preferred pattern of population and activity distribution.


Planning System Flaws: Root Cause Analysis and Practical Application for Developing a Desired Planning System

The objective of this ​report is to comprehensively analyze and identify the underlying causes of deficiencies within the ​planning system of the country. The report examines the ​development programs implemented over the past 45 years, assesses the legal framework, and evaluates the objectives and performance of the planning system.


Integrated Regional Development Plan for Makran

The Makran region is one of the priorities of the country’s spatial development. Therefore, various plans and programs have been devised and implemented for this region.


Evaluating the Efficacy of Macro-Economic and Social Metrics in Iran

The purpose of this report is to identify the root cause of the flaws in the planning system in the country. The report takes a general look at development programs in the last 45 years, assay the structure of laws, and examines the goals and performance of the planning system.


The Model of Modern Productive Bio-Cities: A Facilitator for the Transition towards Islamic Urbanism

The physical infrastructure is recognized as a crucial component of national development. The generative bio-city concept offers a synergistic approach to addressing housing, employment, population, and lifestyle challenges within a socio-cultural framework. This model aims to address pressing issues such as land scarcity and ownership, providing affordable housing, achieving regional balance in land use, and preserving intimate and harmonious spaces within homes


Economic Vulnerability and Resilience: Concepts and Measurements

This report delves into the critical concepts of economic vulnerability and resilience, with a specific focus on Iran's economic landscape. It seeks to address a noticeable gap in the Iranian economic literature concerning the foundations of economic resilience and the indicators for its measurement.


Comparative Analysis of Development Plans in Iran and Other Countries

The concept of development has been greatly influenced by the need for reconstruction and prosperity in countries involved in World War II, as well as the modernization and progress of other countries. However, development is not just about economic growth. It also includes improving income distribution, reducing poverty, expanding production capacities, and providing education, healthcare, and communication services. In essence, development aims to improve the overall quality of life and covers various aspects.


Optimal Spatial Development of the Settlement System of Iran for Horizon 2045

Space is the domain where all economic, political, social, and cultural relations of humans and the platform for all human activities are manifested and transformed. This domain is influenced and shaped by geographical, cultural, economic, and social characteristics and conditions. Throughout history, human civilizations have resulted in the formation of a specific type of space and settlement system organization of different ethnic groups and nations with diverse origins. However, these transformations, which occurred very slowly in the past, have had a very rapid and significant impact on spatial effects in recent centuries.


The Future Study: The Fourth Industrial Revolution and the Evolution of Technological Developments

This research delves into the concept of the fourth industrial revolution, exploring its dimensions and multifaceted impacts across various domains. It examines the profound influence of technological advancements on the future of transportation, employment, and production while investigating the intricate relationship between technological developments and the water challenge. Additionally, it delves into the impact of technological advancements on agriculture and presents a comprehensive overview of the current state of the country's science, innovation, and technology sector. A thorough analysis of the country's strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats in relation to technological developments is also provided.


A Guide to Do an Operational Planning for Five-Year Development Programs

An action plan is a projection of actions that are needed to achieve specific goals based on the possibilities, limitations, and outlines established in strategic planning. This study aims to provide a model for developing the action plan of the country's five-year development plan to address frequent criticism in the country's development planning system.


The Future Study: Navigating the Challenges of Governance in the Horizon of 2045

Spatial Planning has been characterized as a means of reclaiming land and asserting sovereignty, essentially establishing it as a category of governance and policy-making. As such, it represents a continuous evolution of governance approaches. The Spatial Planning document draws upon inputs from the political realm and public policies, culminating in a national document that serves as a public policy notification.

Given that governance is the primary institution established by a society to overcome existing challenges and achieve desired outcomes, the government's utilization of the national spatial planning document fulfills a distinctly governance-oriented function. This functional affinity necessitates careful consideration of governance processes when selecting tools, including the national spatial planning document, for long-term use.


A Revisiting of the Regional Development Policy in Iran

This report elucidates the paradigm shifts pertaining to regional development policies in Iran. These policies have been predicated on two diametrically opposed economic growth strategies: the growth pole strategy, which centralizes investments in central regions, and distribution and redistribution policies, which are fundamentally anchored in principles of social justice.


The Future Study: Macro Trends in the Energy Sector

This research delves into the energy trade landscape in global markets, with a particular focus on Iran's position within this dynamic arena. Drawing upon future studies and market analyses, the study examines the projected conditions of the global energy market, evaluating and analyzing key variables such as alternative energy sources to crude oil and natural gas, oil and gas production trends, and price fluctuations of crude oil and natural gas.


The Human Development Report 2020

The Human Development Report 2020 is a landmark report that examines the relationship between human development and the planet. This book has been translated into Persian and published by the Center for Development and Foresight Research. The translation was done by Dr. Ali Rostamian, Dr. Pirouz Izadi, and Dr. Rezvan Sadat Dehghani.


An investigation into corruption indices

This report is a preliminary draft on the formulation of an administrative corruption index. It is written in response to the responsibilities assigned to the Center for Development and Foresight Research by the Coordinating Committee of Supervisory Bodies. The report aims to introduce some indices and indicators that can be used to measure corruption, and to illuminate different dimensions that govern the case of formulating a corruption index.


Policy and Implementation Framework for Community-Based Development Planning in Iran

This report delineates a comprehensive policy and implementation framework, specifically designed to address the institutional and functional gaps within the structure and processes of regional development programs in Iran. The primary objective is to transcend the confines of pilot projects and centralized approaches, with a concentrated focus on empowering target communities and key beneficiaries of regional development. The overarching goal is to facilitate decentralization, mitigate regional disparities, localize national development initiatives, and stimulate dynamic grassroots participation.


The Future Ahead: The Fourth Industrial Revolution and Technological Transformations

The main objective of this research is to examine and analyze the overall strategic direction of technological developments and to provide an overview of the Fourth Industrial Revolution and the effects of technological developments in selected areas.


A Strategic Roadmap for Overcoming Barriers and Accelerating the Development of the Makran Beaches Development Plan

The strategic importance of the Makran coast is undeniable, yet its development remains disproportionately low. This disparity is attributed to a combination of internal and external factors, which are analyzed in this research.


A comprehensive report on Legatum Prosperity Index for 2010-2020

The Legatum Prosperity Index, as a hybrid index, quantifies the fundamental pillars that underpin societal progress and prosperity. Its expressive nature makes it an effective tool for illustrating and comparing prosperity across different countries and regions. This is largely due to its coherent descriptive framework that amalgamates various socio-political and economic factors.


Comparative Study of Border Blockade in Selected Countries and Iran

Managing borders effectively is crucial for many countries, including Iran, which shares land and sea borders with fifteen neighboring countries. Iran's extensive border network makes it one of the most interconnected nations. Half of Iran's provinces are border regions, each with its own distinctive characteristics. Various theories seek to explain the complex relationship between security and development. Some theories advocate for a unified approach, emphasizing the complementary nature of security and development. Conversely, other theories prioritize one over the other, viewing them as separate concepts.


Examining the General Policies of Development Plans After the Islamic Republic of Iran’s Revolution

The systematic examination of the progression of policy content types within developmental plans indicates that policymakers in the field of development have consistently allocated half of their policy guidelines to public policies. This suggests an ongoing effort to address and resolve executive issues and problems within these developmental plans. Furthermore, the temporal increase in the proportion of guiding policies, coupled with a simultaneous decrease in comprehensive policies, demonstrates that when policymakers articulate values, they do so within the framework of policy guidelines or recommendations, alongside executive concepts. The findings reveal that the least favorable status in terms of content pertains to the policy guidelines of the second developmental plan, while the most favorable status is associated with the policy guidelines of the sixth plan.


Promoting Smart Growth: A Strategic Approach to Nurturing Innovation and Entrepreneurship in Iran

Economic growth is a fundamental driver of national prosperity, leading to improvements in per capita income, living standards, and national strength. Iran's development plans, such as the twenty-year vision and the sixth development plan, underscore the importance of achieving high and sustainable economic growth. To realize this goal, it is essential to carefully evaluate the factors influencing economic growth and formulate appropriate policies to address them.


Conducting a Meta-Analysis of Seventy Years of Development Planning in Iran for Application in the Formulation of the Seventh National Development Plan

The development plan in Iran has been shaped by the evolution of the plan itself, following an established planning procedure. A crucial factor for successful planning is the establishment of a shared understanding and consensus on regulations, which serve as a blueprint for the content and structure of the plan among ​policymakers and ​planners. Given the importance of this issue, and recognizing that the formulation of regulations will be a pivotal step in advancing the ​seventh development plan, this study aims to delineate and clarify the regulatory elements of this plan.


Optimal Model for the Establishment of Economic Activities in the Country

The various dimensions of economic, social, cultural, and environmental factors are essential for achieving sustainable development. Regional imbalances, inequalities, and significant challenges in the development process can arise from focusing only on economic growth in specific regions within a country. Hence, the distribution of economic activities across a territory should consider not only efficiency and economic advantage in different regions, but also other considerations and fundamental principles of spatial development. This study has developed a conceptual framework for determining the distribution of economic activities across a territory


Challenges and Solutions to the Knowledge-Based Economy System in Iran

In this study, the concepts of knowledge, innovation and knowledge-based economy have been introduced and then the requirements of moving towards a knowledge-based economy have been investigated. Based on the presented materials, one of the standard models that explains the elements of the knowledge-based economy is the model provided by the World Bank, which includes four pillars of education and human capital, information and communication technology infrastructure, effective innovation system, and economic and institutional incentives. In the following, taking into account that the effective innovation system is the most important element of the knowledge-based economy and includes other elements as well, the concepts related to it and its structural and functional aspects have been examined.


Disequilibrium in Banking System: Challenges and Policy Recommendations

The banking sector's disequilibrium has emerged as a pervasive and enduring challenge within the nation's macroeconomic framework. A series of strategic missteps have plagued the banking sector over the preceding four decades, including: the absence of unified Central Bank oversight from the late 1960s until 1994, despite formal recognition (substantive supervision remained deficient), the premature privatization of the banking industry without adequate national economic preparation, the imposition of government expenditures on private and non-governmental banks, particularly to offset a portion of the budget deficit, the perpetuation of a traditional view of money as a private commodity (a primary factor exacerbating domestic inflation), and vacillation between disparate economic schools, shifting from socialist to capitalist ideologies.


Assessing the Impact of Tax Exemption for Bank Deposit Interest on Iran's Banking System

The exemption of bank deposit interest from taxation within Iran’s financial system is a topic of considerable debate in this field. This research investigates whether the tax on deposit interest should be regarded as an integral component of the tax system or if it should continue to be exempt. Addressing this question, which forms the crux of this study, necessitates a comprehensive review of tax literature, the structure of Iran’s tax system, and its economic, social, and political conditions. This research adopts a three-step approach to address the issue of exempting bank deposit interest from taxation.


Analysis of the regional input-output model for Iran

In the contemporary global landscape, the evolution of planning systems has instigated a widespread transition towards decentralization and regional planning, predicated on the unique capabilities and advantages inherent to each region. This necessitates the execution of regional analyses employing a diverse array of methodologies. The input-output model has emerged as a prevalent method in regional planning. As one of the most sophisticated techniques in economic accounting, the regional input-output model elucidates the pattern of interaction among economic activities within or across various regions.


Challenges and Future Trends in the Agricultural Sector in Iran

Agriculture plays a critical role in Iran's economy, providing employment for over 15% of the workforce. While the sector holds immense potential for growth and development, it also faces significant challenges. Identifying these challenges and their impact on the agricultural system is essential for policymakers and stakeholders to formulate effective and targeted policies that address both current and potential issues, thereby enhancing the sector's resilience and enabling it to achieve sustainable development goals.


A Review of the Country's Foreign Exchange System: Identifying Vulnerabilities, Addressing Challenges, and Formulating Effective Policy Recommendations.

Exchange rates, as critical macroeconomic indicators, play a pivotal role in assessing a nation's economic resilience in the face of diverse shocks and uncertainties. Guided by their unique economic and political landscapes, as well as their status as oil exporters or importers, countries adopt specific currency regimes, each with its distinct set of requirements and constraints. An oil-exporting nation's economic priorities and strategies may diverge significantly from those of an oil-importing nation.


The Imperative for the Establishment of the Justice and Progress Fund: Rationale and Necessity

The Center for Development Research and Foresight, commissioned by the Country's Program and Budget Organization's Directorate, has embarked on a study titled "Progress and Justice Fund." This research seeks to evaluate the proposed scenarios for establishing the country's growth and development funds. Drawing upon the experiences of the Omid Entrepreneurship Fund's SWOT analysis, this study aims to provide insights into the formation of national growth and development funds. The primary objective of this research is to identify the dimensions, strengths, opportunities, potential bottlenecks, and challenges associated with the Progress and Justice Fund, while also proposing solutions for its implementation.


Dust and Air Pollution Crisis

The phenomenon of airborne dust particles as pollutants has detrimental implications for regions exposed to it. The challenges posed by dust and sandstorms are manifold, including weak environmental diplomacy in addressing transboundary environmental risks, overlapping responsibilities of government agencies, the growth of domestic dust emission sources influenced by deficiencies in water resource management, a lack of understanding of the interconnectedness of gradual disasters such as drought, desertification, land degradation, and dust storms, and the adoption of reactive rather than proactive approaches.


Justice in the Healthcare System

In the realm of healthcare, justice signifies equal access to healthcare services for all individuals. Key indicators for evaluating justice in health include justice in distribution, payment, access, and financial provision. Health equality entails implementing policies and allocating resources in a manner that individuals with fewer resources and those facing deprivation and discrimination (due to factors such as race, gender, age, disability, or income) experience significant improvements in their health and quality of life.


Revamping and Optimization of the Development Planning Procedure in Iran

An evaluation of Iran’s development programs across various periods reveals that most have not achieved the desired outcomes, with some exhibiting a significant performance gap relative to their stated goals. In certain instances, the substantial discrepancy between performance and objectives underscores the failure of planning within the country. Consequently, the shortcomings of planning in Iran have piqued the interest of numerous scholars and academics. The findings of these studies suggest that some plan failures can be attributed to structural deficiencies in the country’s planning system, while others are related to the political and economic issues that govern the formulation and implementation of the plan. In response to these shortcomings, proposals have been put forth to enhance programs within the country. These enhancements include utilizing key cores, rolling planning, or eliminating medium-term plans and focusing on aligning one-year plans with long-term plans.


Exploring the Spatial Structure and Characteristics of Rural Population in the Country

Given the significance of the subject and the rural microsystem's role in shaping Iran's broader land area macro-ecosystem, an initial assessment of rural areas based on selected macro-social, economic, physical, and institutional indicators reveals that this microsystem faces obstacles in fulfilling its intended role in the national development landscape. These challenges have negatively impacted the rural system's vitality due to their cascading effects.


Exchange Rate and Inflation Policies in Iran's Economy

Inflation and exchange rate fluctuations have been persistent challenges in Iran's economy for several decades, leaving policymakers grappling with these issues. Double-digit inflation rates and currency shocks have become almost commonplace, characterizing the country's macro-economy for nearly half a century. However, in the past five years, these two issues have exacerbated Iran's economic situation, leading to unprecedented levels of inflation and exchange rates. Addressing inflation has become a priority in the country's policymaking, as reflected in the current year's slogan.


The Economic and Social Consequences of the Energy Carriers Price Reform

Given the significant role of energy in Iran’s economy, the pricing of energy carriers, particularly gasoline, has always been a critical factor in the implementation of government policies and the overall economy of Iran. The Energy Subsidy Reform policy and the appropriate pricing method have consistently posed challenges, with various governments grappling with economic, social, and environmental challenges in gasoline price reforms.


The Economic Implications of Iran-China Relations and Their Strategic Role in the Seventh Development Plan

The economic development and growth of a nation are intrinsically linked to the growth of its investments. As per the data from UNCTAD and domestic sources, it is observed that over the past two decades, the annual foreign investment in Iran has oscillated between 1 and 5 billion dollars. However, the potential for attracting foreign capital has seen a decline due to a myriad of internal and external risks coupled with investment barriers. To achieve the development objectives, an investment exceeding 200 billion dollars is necessitated, out of which a minimum of 100 billion dollars must be procured from external sources.


performance-based budgeting; Challenges and policy recommendations

Performance-based budgeting fosters optimal resource utilization, enhances productivity through efficiency improvement, facilitates the achievement of goals, aligns strategic objectives with operational plans, and promotes transparency and accountability. When properly implemented and scientifically managed, this type of budgeting lays the groundwork for good governance and facilitates the realization of societal values.


Artificial Intelligence and its role in the Development of Financial Systems and Budgeting

Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a transformative technology, extensively studied and developed over the past seven decades. Its growing prominence has rendered it an indispensable tool for governments worldwide. While AI's potential to enhance decision-making power and quality remains an ongoing area of inquiry, its application in certain policy domains, such as public budget drafting, has received limited attention. This paper delves into the untapped potential of AI in budget allocation, a critical aspect of financial policy.


Border Economic Challenges: The livelihood of Residents and Regional Development

The government of Islamic Republic of Iran has long recognized the importance of harnessing the capabilities of the public sector to align with its strategic objectives. To effectively achieve this decentralization, local governance structures must be activated and integrated within the broader framework of national governance. A clear model and procedure for aligning various institutions under local and central governance is crucial for facilitating border economic exchanges. Addressing the existing challenges faced by border residents and leveraging the potential benefits of neighborhood relations require a comprehensive approach that transcends mere confrontation and intervention. Only through a well-defined model of cooperation and collaboration can the existing laws and plans be effectively implemented to improve the livelihoods of border communities and foster regional prosperity.


Maritime Development is a Key to Boast Economic Growth

The recent conference at the Center for Development Research and Foresight highlighted the growing importance of the maritime economy to the country's future. Experts and officials convened to discuss the potential of the seas and coasts to drive growth, create jobs, and address some of the country's long-term challenges.


The Socio-Economic Impact of International Migration on Iran

As the world grapples with the complexities of mass migration, Iran finds itself at the center of a regional storm. Nestled between conflict-ridden Iraq and Afghanistan, the country has become a haven for millions of refugees seeking refuge and a better life. This influx, however, has brought with it a multitude of challenges, prompting calls for a comprehensive national response.


The Role of Universities in the Governance and Development of the Country; The Duality of Research-Centric or Problem-Centric

The conference at the Center for Development and Foresight Research titled “The Role of Universities in the Governance and Development of the Country; The Duality of Research-Centric or Problem-Centric” addressed the role of universities in the governance and development of a country. It is stated that universities have four main responsibilities: educating and training specialized human resources, advancing the frontiers of knowledge, providing services to society, and promoting societal culture.


Country’s Retirement System: Challenges and Policy Recommendations

In the conference at the Center for Development Research and Foresight titled “Country’s Retirement System: Challenges and Policy Recommendations”, it is stated that Iran's retirement system is facing a number of challenges, including demographic changes, economic instability, and inadequate coverage for informal sector workers. The government is considering reforms to address these challenges, such as increasing the retirement age, limiting early retirement, and reducing the rate of pension accrual. However, some experts are concerned that these reforms may not be enough to save the system in the long run.


The Role of Knowledge-Based Companies in the Development of the National Economy

The conference titled “The Role of Knowledge-Based Companies in the Development of the National Economy” was held at the Center for Development Research and Foresight to discuss the role of knowledge-based companies in the country's development. The speakers at the conference emphasized the importance of knowledge-based companies for Iran's economic future, due to factors such as sanctions, the country's economic structure, and its geographical location.


The future of Iran from the lens of Scholars

Iranian officials and experts are calling for a major shift towards "big science" as the key to unlocking the country's full potential and navigating the complexities of the 21st century. This comes amidst a heated debate on the role of science in Iran's development, with emphasis placed on moving beyond small-scale research towards large-scale initiatives the Center for Development Research and Foresight.


High-Quality Automative Production: Obstacles and Practicable Solutions

In the conference at the Center for Development Research and Foresight it is declared that while Iran's auto industry is roaring back to life, its path to success is far from smooth. With a mix of challenges and opportunities, the country's carmakers are navigating a complex landscape of sanctions, government control, and a growing demand for mobility.


The Artificial Intelligence and the Country's Governance

The country's leading minds in artificial intelligence (AI) convened in specialized conference titled “The Artificial Intelligence and the Country's Governance” at the Center for Development Research and Foresight, Iran, tackling crucial questions about governing this powerful technology and harnessing its potential for good.


Maritime Development is a Key to Boast Economic Growth

The recent conference at the Center for Development Research and Foresight highlighted the growing importance of the maritime economy to the country's future. Experts and officials convened to discuss the potential of the seas and coasts to drive growth, create jobs, and address some of the country's long-term challenges.


The Future of Iran: From an Economic Perspective

The Center for Development Research and Foresight hosted a pivotal conference titled “The Future of Iran: From an Economic Perspective” with the participation of leading economists and policymakers pointing out the persistent inflation, anemic growth, and deep-seated structural issues.


Automotive Industry: Challenges and Policy Recommendations

The recent conference at the Center for Development Research and Foresight, titled "Automotive Industry: Challenges and Policy Recommendations," was held with the participation of notable figures. These included Mohammad Jafari, Deputy for Strategic Planning, Development, and Resource Management of the Central Headquarters for Combating Smuggling of Goods and Currency; Biouk Alimoradlou, CEO of Bahman Group; and Amir Mohammad Kian Manesh, an expert in the automotive industry.


Iran's Water Crisis: A Looming Threat, Experts Warn

Iran's water crisis, long simmering beneath the surface, has reached a boiling point, according to experts who gathered at a conference titled “Iran's Water Crisis: A Looming Threat, Experts Warn” at the Center for Development Research and Foresight. The conference brought together leading figures in planning, development, economics, and water resource management to discuss the challenges and potential solutions to this pressing issue.


Evaluating the Performance of Subsidy Targeting

A heated debate unfolded at the conference titled “Evaluating the Performance of Subsidy Targeting” at the Center for Development Research and Foresight with key figures clashing over the effectiveness and future of the nation's complex support system.


The Importance of Data Mining in Financial Transparency

The recent conference at the Center for Development Research and Foresight brought together experts to discuss how data governance and mining can improve the country's budgeting process. The conference was part of an ongoing series aimed at improving budget transparency and efficiency.


Parliamentary Intervention in Budgeting: A Scrutiny-Seeking Issue

The Conference titled “Parliamentary Intervention in Budgeting: A Scrutiny-Seeking Issue” with a concentration on improving the budgeting process in Iran, held at the Center for Development Research and Foresight, brought together experts to discuss the role of parliament in budget decision-making. The conference highlighted the ongoing debate about the extent to which parliament should be involved in the budgeting process, with some arguing for more oversight and others emphasizing the need for executive flexibility.


The Role of Knowledge-Based Models in Improving Food Security in Iran

The conference titled “The Role of Knowledge-Based Models in Improving Food Security in Iran” at the Center for Development Research and Foresight brought together experts to discuss the critical issue of food security in the country. The conference highlighted the challenges facing Iran's agricultural sector and explored potential solutions.


Shedding light on the Minimum Wage Policy in Iran

The recent conference titled “Shedding light on the Minimum Wage Policy in Iran” at the Center for Development Research and Foresight brought together economists and policymakers to discuss the country's wage policies. Hojjatollah Mirzaei, a faculty member at Allameh Tabataba'i University, criticized the recent wage hikes as inadequate and unevenly implemented. He argued that they failed to keep pace with inflation, leaving workers worse off, and called for the government to be more transparent about the basis for the increases. Mirzaei also expressed concern about the lack of consistency across different sectors, noting that some firms struggle to comply with the mandated increases. He emphasized the need for a more nuanced approach that considers the specific challenges of different industries.


Challenges and Opportunities for Cooperatives in Addressing Iran's Housing Crisis

The recent conference of “Challenges and Opportunities for Cooperatives in Addressing Iran's Housing Crisis” at the Center for Development Research and Foresight brought together experts from various fields to address the critical issue of housing affordability in Iran. The conference highlighted the challenges faced by the Iranian housing market and explored potential solutions, particularly through the lens of cooperative housing models.


Unlocking Potential: Reforming Iran's Free Zones

The conference titled “Unlocking Potential: Reforming Iran's Free Zones” was held at the Center for Development Research and Foresight to discuss the performance of free zones in Iran. The conference was attended by stakeholders from the public and private sectors, including government officials, academics, and businesspeople.


Unlocking Potential: Strategies to Improve Iran's Government Asset Utilization

In the conference titled “Unlocking Potential: Strategies to Improve Iran's Government Asset Utilization” at the Center for Development Research and Foresight aimed at addressing the challenges of managing government assets, Iranian officials discussed issues ranging from inefficient asset allocation to the need for legal reforms. The conference brought together experts from various sectors to explore strategies for maximizing the value of government-owned properties and resources.


Air Pollution: Challenges and Operational Solutions

Air pollution is a major threat facing the world today, with millions of deaths attributed to it each year, according to experts who convened at the scientific-specialized conference titled "Air Pollution: Challenges and Operational Solutions" at the Center for Development Research and Foresight.


The Role of Financial Technologies in the Country’s Economic System: Challenges and Policy Recommendations

The scientific-specialized conference, titled "The Role of Financial Technologies in the Country's Economic System: Challenges and Policy Recommendations" at the Center for Development Research and Foresight brought together experts from various fields to discuss the potential and pitfalls of FinTech in Iran's developing economy.


Extraterrestrial Cultivation: Water and Food Security

In a move that could revolutionize its agricultural sector, Iran is setting its sights on extraterrestrial cultivation, aiming to tap into the water and soil resources of other countries to improve food security and expand its agricultural exports. This ambitious plan was discussed at the conference titled “Extraterrestrial Cultivation: Water and Food Security” at the Center for Development Research and Foresight.


Incentives and Tax Exemptions in Free Trade and Industrial Zones

Concerns are mounting about the effectiveness of Iran's free trade zones, with their number ballooning from 8 to 18 and their impact falling short of expectations. This has sparked calls for reform, focusing on specialization, targeted incentives, and a renewed emphasis on exports.


Structural Budget Reforms (From Theoretical and Policy Framework to Historical Narrative)

The book Structural Budget Reforms (From Theoretical and Policy Framework to Historical Narrative), published by the Center for Development and Foresight Research, provides a comprehensive overview of the structural budget reforms program in Iran.


Investigation of the Income Distribution Trend of Urban, Rural, and National Households in the Last Two Decades

The new book published by the Center for Development Research and Foresight, "Investigation of the Income Distribution Trend of Urban, Rural, and National Households in the Last Two Decades," is tackling the ever-present issue of income inequality in Iran.


Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation: A Practical Guide for Analyzing Complex Systems

The Center for Development Research and Foresight has published a new book titled "Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation: A Practical Guide for Analyzing Complex Systems," authored by Professor Juan Martin Garcia and translated by Dr. Amir Alambigi and Dr. Babak Afqahi.


History of Development: From Western Origins to Global Faith

The Center for Development Research and Foresight has published the translated version of "History of Development: From Western Origins to Global Faith," originally authored by Gilbert Rist. Dr. Seyed Rahim Timouri is credited with the translation of this fifth edition.


Bridging the Gap: Operational Solutions and Policy Recommendations for Tackling the Gasoline Consumption Imbalance

Iran is facing a growing problem at the pump. The country is burning through gasoline at an alarming rate, and experts are calling for action. In the recent conference titled “Bridging the Gap: Operational Solutions and Policy Recommendations for Tackling the Gasoline Consumption Imbalance” at the Center for Development Research and Foresight, key figures from government and academia discussed a range of solutions to bridge the gap between Iran's fuel consumption and supply.


Hydrogen as a Key Enabler of Iran's Future Energy Economy

Could hydrogen be the key to unlocking Iran's clean energy future? That's the question experts tackled at the recent conference titled “Hydrogen as a Key Enabler of Iran's Future Energy Economy” hosted by the Center for Development Research and Foresight (CDRF).


Evaluating the Implementation of the Law on the Housing Production Leap: Achievements and Challenges

In a recent conference titled "Evaluating the Implementation of the Law on the Housing Production Leap: Achievements and Challenges" hosted by the Center for Development Research and Foresight (CDRF) it has been an enlightening debate surrounding the effectiveness of the Law on Housing Production Leap.


The Leading Development Agency: A Prerequisite for the Orderly Development of the Country

Iran might be looking to a new approach to development. The recent conference at the Center for Development Research and Foresight in tandem with the University of Tehran's Faculty of Governance titled "The Leading Development Agency: A Prerequisite for the Orderly Development of the Country" addressed the significance of a super agency with more power and a sharper focus than existing government bodies.


SMEs and Strategies to Overcome Barriers: The Role of Strategically-Aligned and Geographically-Proximate Countries

An international meeting held on April 24, 2024, at the Center for Development Research and Foresight, brought together experts to discuss the importance of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) for economic growth and job creation, with a particular focus on the role of strategically-aligned and geographically-proximate countries. The meeting, titled "SMEs and Strategies to Overcome Barriers: The Role of Strategically-Aligned and Geographically-Proximate Countries," was led by Aidin Salamzadeh, the vice dean of the faculty of business management at the University of Tehran, who welcomed professor Galina Shirokova, the director of the Center for Strategic Entrepreneurship at HSE University of Saint Petersburg, Morteza Mohammadi Zanjireh, a faculty member at Imam Khomeini International University, and 17 university professors from St Petersburg University, Moscow State University, University of Calgary, and University of Notre Dame.

 


امروز : شنبه، ۹ تیر ۱۴۰۳
تاریخ تاسیس مرکز پژوهش های توسعه و آینده نگری به ابتدای مرداد ماه سال 1397 "ه ش" باز می گردد. این مرکز پژوهشی پس از دوران تاسیس و استقرار، اکنون به عنوان یک نهاد مستقل علمی ذیل وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری در مرحله ی تثبیت ماموریت های خود قرار دارد و در این دوره تلاش کرده است با ساختاری چابک و منعطف به عنوان مرکز تخصصی با مطالعه بر دو کارویژه "توسعه و آینده نگری ایران اسلامی" با مشارکت نهاد های علمی کشور به عنوان مشاور علمی و امین دولت جمهوری اسلامی ایران در تمامی سطوح عمل نماید.